Table of Contents
XRP Price Prediction This Week
What is XRP price prediction for this week?
XRP’s outlook for this week is best expressed as ranges and scenarios. This page provides a weekly forecast band with key support/resistance zones and clear confirmation/invalidation triggers, plus the event risks that can switch scenarios (BTC regime, liquidity shifts, and macro or legal/ETF headlines).
Week Window (UTC): Monday, January 13, 2026 00:00 UTC → Sunday, January 19, 2026 23:59 UTC
Last Updated: January 14, 2026, 14:00 UTC | See Update Log below
Horizon Clarification: ‘This Week’ covers the current calendar week (UTC). For the next calendar week, see XRP price prediction next week. For longer horizons, see XRP price prediction next month or XRP 2026 forecast.
Weekly Forecast Range (Week of Jan 13-19, 2026):
- Base Range: $2.05 – $2.35
- Bull Extension: $2.40 – $2.60 (if resistance breaks with confirmation)
- Bear Extension: $1.90 – $2.00 (if support breaks)
Key Weekly Levels:
- Primary Support: $2.00 – $2.05 zone
- Primary Resistance: $2.30 – $2.35 zone
- Weekly Invalidation: Daily close below $1.95 shifts to bear scenario
Event Risks This Week:
- BTC volatility regime (key levels: $100K support, $105K resistance)
- US economic data releases (Retail Sales, Industrial Production)
- ETF flow momentum (continuation vs profit-taking)
- XRP-specific: No major scheduled legal/regulatory events
For the complete forecasting framework, see the XRP price prediction methodology.
This Week’s XRP Forecast at a Glance (Ranges + Scenarios)
| Scenario | Range | Trigger | Confirmation | Invalidation |
| Base | $2.05-$2.35 | Current trend continues | Holds support zone | Daily close below $1.95 |
| Bull | $2.40-$2.60 | Break above $2.35 resistance | Volume + daily close above | Rejection and close below $2.30 |
| Bear | $1.90-$2.00 | Break below $2.00 support | Daily close below zone | Reclaim and close above $2.05 |
| Vol Expansion | $1.85-$2.65 | BTC breakdown/breakout | ATR spike + liquidations | Volatility compresses mid-week |
Base Scenario (Most Likely Weekly Path)
The base scenario expects XRP to trade within the $2.05-$2.35 range this week:
- BTC remains in consolidation mode near $100K-$105K
- ETF flows remain steady (neither significant inflows nor outflows)
- No major regulatory or legal catalysts
- Macro sentiment neutral to slightly risk-on
Bull Scenario (Breakout + Continuation Conditions)
Bull scenario requires a confirmed break of the $2.30-$2.35 resistance:
- BTC breaks above $105K with momentum
- ETF inflows accelerate mid-week
- Daily close above $2.35 with above-average volume
- Retest of broken resistance holds as support
Bear Scenario (Breakdown + Risk-Off Conditions)
Bear scenario activates on a confirmed break of the $2.00-$2.05 support:
- BTC breaks below $100K with follow-through
- ETF outflows persist for 2+ consecutive days
- Daily close below $2.00 (preferably $1.95)
- Macro shifts to risk-off (unexpected data, geopolitical)
Volatility Expansion Scenario (Wide-Range Week)
If BTC volatility spikes or a major catalyst materializes, XRP can trade a much wider range ($1.85-$2.65). This scenario is characterized by liquidation events, ATR expansion, and potential for both support and resistance tests within the same week. Watch funding rates and open interest for squeeze risk. See the XRP sentiment and liquidity hub for detailed positioning analysis.
Key Weekly Levels (Zones + Invalidation)
| Zone | Level | Why It Matters | Confirms | Risk Signal |
| Support 1 | $2.00-$2.05 | 50-day MA confluence; multiple prior bounces | Holds on retest | Wick below |
| Support 2 | $1.85-$1.90 | Major structural support; January lows | Bounce + close above | Close below |
| Resistance 1 | $2.30-$2.35 | 200-day EMA; prior rejection zone | Daily close above | Rejection |
| Resistance 2 | $2.50-$2.60 | December highs; major supply zone | Break + retest holds | Fail at zone |
Primary Support Zone(s) and Weekly Confirmation
The $2.00-$2.05 zone is the week’s most important support. It confluences with the 50-day moving average and has been defended multiple times in recent weeks. Weekly confirmation requires price to hold this zone on any retest, with daily closes remaining above $2.00.
Primary Resistance Zone(s) and Weekly Confirmation
The $2.30-$2.35 zone is the week’s primary resistance. The 200-day EMA runs through this area, and XRP has been rejected here twice in January. Weekly confirmation requires a daily close above $2.35 with above-average volume. For detailed level analysis, see the XRP technical analysis hub.
Weekly Invalidation (What Flips the Base Scenario)
The base scenario is invalidated by a daily close below $1.95. This level break would signal that the $2.00-$2.05 support has failed, shifting probability toward the bear scenario with $1.85-$1.90 as the next target zone. If invalidation occurs, this page will be updated with revised scenarios.
Weekly Drivers (What Moves XRP Over 3-7 Days)
BTC Regime + Macro Risk Sentiment
Bitcoin sets the market’s risk regime. XRP’s weekly path is heavily influenced by BTC’s behavior:
- BTC bullish regime (above $105K): XRP bull scenario probability increases
- BTC neutral regime ($100K-$105K): XRP base scenario most likely
- BTC bearish regime (below $100K): XRP bear scenario probability increases
Liquidity and Volatility Regime
Current volatility is compressed (low ATR, Bollinger Band squeeze). This typically precedes a directional move. Watch for funding rate extremes and OI spikes that could trigger liquidation cascades. The XRP sentiment and liquidity hub tracks these metrics in detail.
Technical Structure: Higher-Timeframe Levels
Weekly levels are derived from daily and weekly timeframe structure. The current structure shows XRP in a range between the 50-day MA (support) and 200-day EMA (resistance). A weekly close outside this range would signal trend continuation. See the XRP technical analysis hub for methodology.
Events & Catalyst Calendar (This Week)
Macro Events (Rates, Inflation, Jobs, etc.)
- Thursday, Jan 16: US Retail Sales (December) – risk sentiment impact
- Friday, Jan 17: US Industrial Production – economic health signal
- Ongoing: Fed speaker commentary; any inflation surprise data
XRP-Specific Headline Risk (SEC/Legal, ETF, Exchange Access)
- Legal: No scheduled court dates this week; settlement is behind us
- ETF: Monitor daily flow data; significant outflow days could pressure price
- Ripple: Watch for partnership announcements or RLUSD updates
For catalyst tracking and impact analysis, see the XRP catalysts hub, SEC lawsuit impact hub, and XRP ETF impact hub.
Crypto Market Events (BTC/ETH Volatility, Risk-On/Off Triggers)
- BTC key levels: $100K support / $105K resistance – breaks affect XRP sentiment
- ETH correlation: ETH weakness can drag altcoins including XRP
- Leverage flush: Watch for liquidation cascades if volatility spikes
How VTrader Updates Weekly Scenarios (Method Excerpt)
Update Triggers (Confirmation/Invalidation)
We update this page when:
- Price breaks a key weekly level (support or resistance)
- BTC regime shifts (breaks above $105K or below $100K)
- Major catalyst materializes (unexpected legal, regulatory, or macro news)
- Volatility regime changes significantly
What is Noise (Avoid Overreacting)
We don’t update for:
- Intraday wicks that don’t close outside key levels
- Minor social media sentiment shifts without price confirmation
- Headlines without measurable market impact
Related Forecast Pages (Navigation)
Today / Next 24 Hours / Tomorrow
For shorter horizons (intraday to next-day): XRP price prediction today | XRP price prediction next 24 hours | XRP price prediction tomorrow
Next Week / Next Month
For the subsequent week or broader monthly planning: XRP price prediction next week | XRP price prediction next month
2026 Outlook (Planning)
For long-term scenario planning and year-horizon forecasts: XRP 2026 forecast | XRP price prediction (main hub)
Frequently Asked Questions
What does ‘this week’ mean for crypto price predictions (time zone)?
Crypto trades 24/7, so ‘this week’ should be defined with a UTC week window shown on-page (start and end timestamps). This removes ambiguity for global readers and makes updates and comparisons consistent.
What’s the difference between ‘this week’ and ‘next week’ for XRP?
‘This week’ covers the current calendar week window (defined in UTC). ‘Next week’ covers the subsequent calendar week. Separating these horizons prevents cannibalization and helps users pick the right planning timeframe.
What are the most important XRP levels to watch this week?
Weekly levels are higher-timeframe liquidity zones where price previously reacted and where weekly sentiment can flip. Use zones (not single prices), explain why they matter, and define what would confirm or invalidate the base scenario.
What events can move XRP price this week?
Major drivers include BTC regime shifts, macro releases that change risk sentiment, and XRP-specific headlines such as legal/SEC updates or ETF-related developments. Liquidity changes and leverage unwinds can amplify moves.
How does Bitcoin affect XRP’s weekly range?
Bitcoin often sets the market’s risk regime. If BTC volatility expands or key levels break, XRP weekly ranges typically widen and scenarios can switch even if XRP’s structure looked stable earlier.
How do funding rate and open interest influence XRP over a week?
Funding and open interest reflect leverage and positioning. Elevated OI and extreme funding can increase squeeze and liquidation risk, which often creates wider weekly ranges and more volatile scenario paths.
What does ‘weekly invalidation’ mean?
Weekly invalidation is the level or condition that proves the base weekly path is wrong (for example, a decisive break of a major support zone). When invalidation occurs, the forecast should clearly state which alternative scenario becomes most likely.
How often is this week’s XRP forecast updated?
Update at least once per week and also after major structure breaks, regime shifts, or catalysts. Use ‘Last updated’ and a short update log rather than publishing new URLs.
Where can I find XRP next month and 2026 forecasts?
Use the Next Month page for a broader planning range and the 2026 hub for longer-horizon scenario bands. The weekly page is meant for 3-7 day planning and event-risk framing.
Update Log
| Date/Time (UTC) | What Changed |
| Jan 14, 2026, 14:00 | Initial weekly forecast published. Base range $2.05-$2.35. Key support $2.00-$2.05, resistance $2.30-$2.35. |
| — | Future updates will be logged here |
Steve Gregory is a lawyer in the United States who specializes in licensing for cryptocurrency companies and products. Steve began his career as an attorney in 2015 but made the switch to working in cryptocurrency full time shortly after joining the original team at Gemini Trust Company, an early cryptocurrency exchange based in New York City. Steve then joined CEX.io and was able to launch their regulated US-based cryptocurrency. Steve then went on to become the CEO at currency.com when he ran for four years and was able to lead currency.com to being fully acquired in 2025.
