{"id":18482,"date":"2025-09-03T12:07:11","date_gmt":"2025-09-03T12:07:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtrader.io\/news\/bitcoin-set-for-12-september-decline-while-solana-outpaces-major-coins-in-gains\/"},"modified":"2025-09-03T12:07:11","modified_gmt":"2025-09-03T12:07:11","slug":"bitcoin-set-for-12-september-decline-while-solana-outpaces-major-coins-in-gains","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtrader.io\/news\/bitcoin-set-for-12-september-decline-while-solana-outpaces-major-coins-in-gains\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Set for 12% September Decline While Solana Outpaces Major Coins in Gains"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Bitcoin’s September Curse: Traders Brace for a Rocky Ride<\/p>\n\n

In a month notorious for volatility, Bitcoin traders are bracing for what could be another challenging September. Historically, the largest cryptocurrency by market cap has stumbled through nine of the past 14 Septembers, with an average monthly drop of around 12%. This year appears to be no different. As the week kicked off, Bitcoin found itself teetering near $110,000\u2014the weakest level observed in nearly two months. It\u2019s a precarious moment for the crypto market, which has seen its total capitalization dip to a three-week low of $3.74 trillion.<\/p>\n\n

A September to Remember?<\/h2>\n\n

Market sentiment is undeniably fragile. Traders are navigating a landscape littered with macroeconomic uncertainties, dwindling volumes, and an ominous history of September slumps. The technical indicators do little to calm nerves either. According to Alex Kuptsikevich, chief market analyst at FxPro, the broader capitalization chart \u201ccontinues to record a series of lower lows, signaling a downward trend.\u201d Bitcoin’s inability to sustain its position above $112,000 has only added to the anxiety, with Kuptsikevich warning of a potential decline toward the $105,000 mark\u2014a historical support level before the critical $100,000 psychological barrier. As explored in our recent article<\/a>, the risk of Bitcoin sliding to $100K after a 6% monthly drop is a concern for many traders.<\/p>\n\n

In the backdrop, the crypto fear index has slipped back to 40, its lowest since April, signaling that investor nerves are fraying. This is perhaps unsurprising, given Bitcoin’s past September performances: a near 8% drop in 2017 and a 14% decline in 2019. Even more recently, the token saw significant drawdowns in both 2021 and 2022, a testament to the month\u2019s reputation as a tough period for the market. For a broader perspective, see our coverage on what to expect from the Bitcoin market this September<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n

Solana’s Surprising Surge<\/h2>\n\n

While Bitcoin grapples with its September curse, Solana\u2019s SOL has emerged as a beacon of positivity, leading major gains with a 4% rise. XRP and Cardano’s ADA have also posted modest gains of 1% and 1.5%, respectively. Despite these upward blips, the broader sentiment remains cautious. The crypto community is acutely aware that liquidity drains and macroeconomic jitters often coincide with the end of summer\u2014a trend that seems to be repeating itself in 2025.<\/p>\n\n

According to CryptoQuant data, spot ETFs have now absorbed over 1.3 million BTC, nearly 6% of the total supply. This positions them on par with some of the largest exchanges, a development that underscores the changing landscape of crypto market dynamics. However, the risk remains that key support levels could break before any macroeconomic relief materializes.<\/p>\n\n

ETF Flows and Market Sentiment<\/h2>\n\n

The ETF flows are telling a story of their own. While spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. saw net outflows of $440 million last week, Ether ETFs\u2014launched just last year\u2014recorded over $1 billion in inflows. This suggests a rotation of capital rather than outright growth, pointing to a shifting focus within the market. Meanwhile, the upcoming non-farm payrolls data, due this Friday, is expected to reveal just 45,000 new jobs, confirming a slowing U.S. labor market. A disappointing jobs report could strengthen the case for a rate cut from the Federal Reserve in September, potentially flipping market sentiment back to a risk-on stance.<\/p>\n\n

Until then, traders seem to be erring on the side of caution. Options data indicates a robust demand for puts, with a bearish skew dominating the landscape. Kuptsikevich advises intra-day traders to tread carefully, as the market appears to be in a precarious balance.<\/p>\n\n

In this unpredictable environment, the question remains whether Bitcoin\u2019s historical September slump will continue or if a macroeconomic catalyst could provide a much-needed reprieve. As traders navigate these choppy waters, the coming weeks may prove pivotal in shaping the crypto market\u2019s narrative for the rest of the year.<\/p>\n\n

Source<\/h2>\n\n

This article is based on: Bitcoin Traders Warn of 12% Monthly Drop as Solana Leads Majors Gains<\/a><\/p>\n\n

Further Reading<\/h2>\n\n

Deepen your understanding with these related articles:<\/p>\n\n