Ethereum bulls are eyeing a significant milestone as ETH’s potential to reach $5,000 this August has seen an uptick in probability. According to Polymarket, the chances have climbed to 26%, a notable jump from the previous 16%. This surge in optimism is fueled by increased institutional accumulation and shifting dynamics between Bitcoin and Ethereum flows.
Institutional Influence and Market Dynamics
The core of Ethereum’s recent strength lies in the substantial liquidity floor established by institutional investors. “Ethereum’s recent strength is mainly showcased by the level of flows into it, where a major liquidity floor has been built by institutions,” commented March Zheng, General Partner at Bizantine Capital. This robust support is further bolstered by the ETH/BTC ratio, which has been languishing at a localized low, suggesting a rebound was brewing. Zheng notes, “This cycle is supported by stronger fundamentals such as global stablecoin adoption and clearer regulation.”
Adding to the intrigue, market maker Enflux highlights a rotation in market interest. XRP has joined ETH in leading the rally, and capital is pursuing new narratives like the “Cronos Treasury” initiative by Trump Media. Meanwhile, Hyperliquid’s trading volume surge, eclipsing Robinhood in July, underscores a shift in retail speculation towards native infrastructure. “What matters most is not the day’s closing print but the structural reallocation of liquidity across the crypto landscape,” Enflux observed, emphasizing the evolving market dynamics. As explored in Ethereum Price Hits Fresh High as Bulls Dominate, Bitcoin Slides Lower, this trend reflects a broader shift in market sentiment.
Ethereum’s Edge
Ethereum’s edge over Bitcoin is becoming more pronounced. Over the past month, ETH has outpaced BTC significantly, registering a 20% gain compared to Bitcoin’s 6% decline. Even though Ether is trading at $4,598.67—down from its recent high of $4,946—the institutional inflows continue to power its rally. Despite weaker DeFi activity and total value locked (TVL) compared to previous cycles, Ethereum’s liquidity dominance over Bitcoin highlights its integral role in the crypto ecosystem. This follows a pattern of institutional adoption, which we detailed in Public Keys: Ethereum Treasuries Soar, Bitcoin ETFs’ $1 Billion Bleed, Crypto IPO Chatter.
Gracie Lin, CEO of OKX Singapore, captures this sentiment: “Markets react to headlines, but longer-term value is driven by fundamentals. This is why Ethereum continues to show strength through real utility—even as prices pull back, big institutional moves like BitMine’s ETH accumulation prove there’s deep conviction in its role at the core of crypto.” With new macroeconomic data, such as the US PCE index, expected later this week, the resilience of this conviction will soon be tested amidst market volatility.
Looking Ahead
As the crypto market continues its unpredictable journey, several factors will play critical roles in shaping Ethereum’s path. Institutional interest remains a pivotal force, particularly as the broader market navigates through regulatory landscapes and macroeconomic shifts. The impending release of economic indicators like the US PCE could act as a catalyst, potentially influencing market sentiment and liquidity flows.
The ETH community and investors alike are keenly watching these developments. The anticipation surrounding Ethereum’s potential breakthrough to $5,000 is palpable, yet it raises questions about the sustainability of recent trends. As the crypto world braces for the next wave of change, Ethereum’s narrative remains compelling, albeit peppered with uncertainties typical of the ever-evolving digital asset space.
Source
This article is based on: Asia Morning Briefing: ETH Bulls Eyeing $5K as Flows Strengthen
Further Reading
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Steve Gregory is a lawyer in the United States who specializes in licensing for cryptocurrency companies and products. Steve began his career as an attorney in 2015 but made the switch to working in cryptocurrency full time shortly after joining the original team at Gemini Trust Company, an early cryptocurrency exchange based in New York City. Steve then joined CEX.io and was able to launch their regulated US-based cryptocurrency. Steve then went on to become the CEO at currency.com when he ran for four years and was able to lead currency.com to being fully acquired in 2025.