In an era where the cryptocurrency landscape is as volatile as ever, the long-anticipated altcoin season seems to remain a distant vision. As of today, July 4, 2025, market analyst Stockmoney Lizards doused the hopes of altcoin enthusiasts with a sobering analysis. According to Stockmoney, the dominance of Bitcoin continues to overshadow the burgeoning altcoin space, making a significant rally unlikely in the immediate future.
The Grip of Bitcoin Dominance
Bitcoin remains the titan of the crypto world, with its dominance stubbornly entrenched above 65%. This level of market control hasn’t been seen since 2021, a time when Bitcoin’s supremacy was last this pronounced before it plummeted, paving the way for a flourishing altcoin season. Despite a slight dip—roughly 2%—in Bitcoin’s market share, Stockmoney Lizards insists that this doesn’t signal an imminent shift. “BTC is the measure of all things,” the analyst declares, stressing that the current Bitcoin dominance must experience a significant decline—around 40%—to ignite a true altcoin surge. This aligns with recent observations in Bitcoin Carried Crypto Markets in 2025’s First Half as Altcoins Crumbled, which highlights Bitcoin’s continued influence over market trends.
The ramifications of Bitcoin’s dominance are not trivial. Ethereum, often seen as the leader of the altcoin pack, has witnessed its dominance shrink to a paltry 8%, a nadir not seen since the pre-pandemic market of 2020. This diminished presence underscores Ethereum’s diminished capacity to spearhead an altcoin rally, further complicating the prospects of a vibrant altcoin season.
Historical Context and Current Market Dynamics
Reflecting on the historical ebb and flow of the crypto markets, the last notable altcoin season was heralded by a marked decrease in Bitcoin’s market hold. In 2017 and again in 2021, Bitcoin’s falling dominance was a harbinger for altcoin ascendance. Yet today, those conditions appear elusive. CoinMarketCap data corroborates this, showing altcoin dominance, excluding Ethereum, at a mere 26%—a level that whispers of past bull runs but currently lacks the vigor needed to challenge Bitcoin.
The narrative becomes even more compelling when considering the broader crypto environment. The market’s current bearish tones contrast sharply with the optimism of previous years. Analysts like Stockmoney Lizards remain cautious, acknowledging that while an altcoin season isn’t an impossibility, it’s not on the immediate horizon either. “Not even remotely close,” they assert, advising market participants to temper expectations tempered by the steadfastness of Bitcoin’s market presence. This sentiment is echoed in Litecoin Slips Below $86 as Resistance Holds; Traders Watch Bitcoin Dominance, which discusses how altcoins are struggling under Bitcoin’s shadow.
What Lies Ahead?
For now, the crypto community watches with bated breath. The potential for a seismic shift remains, contingent on a significant downturn in Bitcoin’s dominance. With market dynamics as they are, questions linger: Could external factors—regulatory changes, technological advancements, or macroeconomic shifts—catalyze the change needed to tip the scales in favor of altcoins?
In the interim, the focus remains on Bitcoin, whose movements continue to dictate market sentiments and strategies. As the digital currency landscape evolves, the interplay between Bitcoin and its altcoin counterparts will undoubtedly remain a focal point for traders and analysts alike. While the promise of an altcoin season glimmers on the horizon, the current market conditions suggest a waiting game, with Bitcoin holding the cards, at least for now.
Source
This article is based on: Altcoin Season Not Remotely Close, Bitcoin Dominance Still Too High: Market Expert Says
Further Reading
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Steve Gregory is a lawyer in the United States who specializes in licensing for cryptocurrency companies and products. Steve began his career as an attorney in 2015 but made the switch to working in cryptocurrency full time shortly after joining the original team at Gemini Trust Company, an early cryptocurrency exchange based in New York City. Steve then joined CEX.io and was able to launch their regulated US-based cryptocurrency. Steve then went on to become the CEO at currency.com when he ran for four years and was able to lead currency.com to being fully acquired in 2025.
