In a fresh analysis that has the crypto community buzzing, Kevin, a well-regarded crypto analyst and the mind behind Kev Capital TA, suggests that altcoins might be on the brink of a 2021-style breakout. Based on his recent video posted on September 2, 2025, Kevin points to a structural setup in the altcoin market cap that excludes Ethereum and stablecoins, drawing comparisons to the patterns preceding the explosive altseason of 2021. His insights are anchored on the Total3/BTC ratio, which he argues is flashing a Wyckoff-style bottoming process, potentially heralding a seismic shift in the crypto landscape.
Altcoins Poised for a Comeback?
Kevin doesn’t mince words when he describes the current market setup as a direct parallel to the last cycle’s shift from stagnation to vigor. The altcoin market, he says, has retraced into an accumulation range, breached support in a dramatic flush, and then reclaimed it—what he calls a “spring phase.” This is reminiscent of the 2018-2020 base that eventually erupted in 2021. “We are seeing weekly and monthly time frame setups that are echoing historical patterns,” he explains, emphasizing that structural signals often precede headlines. This aligns with recent sentiments from Ripple’s CEO, who envisions a $25 trillion crypto market by 2030, as discussed in Best Altcoins to Buy Now.
But here’s the twist: Kevin warns that macroeconomic factors must align for this setup to play out. He highlights the necessity for lower or stable inflation, a softening—but not crashing—labor market, and moderated economic growth. Such conditions, he argues, would enable the Federal Reserve to pivot, potentially easing quantitative tightening and fostering a climate where risks can be repriced. With crucial economic data expected in the next three weeks and the Federal Open Market Committee meeting slated for September 17, Kevin suggests that the fourth quarter is a pivotal period.
Momentum Indicators: Déjà Vu?
Diving deeper into the technicals, Kevin notes indicator symmetry with the 2021 rally on the weekly linear timeframe. He cites the emergence of a fresh weekly buy signal on Market Cipher, describing its “money flow” profile as eerily similar to the previous cycle’s spring. Key indicators—whale money flow, MACD, and stochastic RSI—are all aligning at levels reminiscent of the 2021 altcoin surge. “When you break the 80 level and stay above it, that’s when the fireworks begin,” he remarks, hinting at potential aggressive price actions if history repeats itself.
Zooming out to the monthly log chart, he spots an eight-year support band and a higher low structure, with a momentum backdrop characterized as classically divergent. The monthly RSI is poking out of a long-standing downtrend, and the monthly stochastic RSI has turned sharply upwards, though it hasn’t yet breached the critical 80 level. Kevin emphasizes the importance of a double-bottom pattern in the monthly L-MACD, likening it to the setup seen between June and December 2020—a period that marked the beginning of a major regime shift.
Structural Shifts and Future Uncertainties
Kevin’s thesis suggests that the altcoin market might begin to wrest dominance from Bitcoin, driven by a structural turn in market breadth and momentum indicators. He frames Total3/BTC as a sequel to his earlier, accurate Ethereum predictions, suggesting that altcoins are setting up for a significant rotation. However, he exercises caution, noting that September traditionally brings weakness, with any robust rotation likely hinging on macroeconomic validation as we move into Q4. This sentiment is echoed by smart money movements during market pullbacks, as detailed in 3 Altcoins Smart Money Are Buying During Market Pullback.
The analyst acknowledges the unpredictability of macroeconomic data but remains confident in the charts. “If there was ever going to be a time that it was going to happen… now’s the time,” he asserts, while stressing the need for vigilance in the face of incoming data. At the time of writing, TOTAL3—the total cryptocurrency market cap excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum—stands at $1.04 trillion.
In a world where charts can precede news yet offer no guarantees, Kevin’s analysis provides a window into potential market dynamics, raising questions about whether this could indeed be the dawn of another altseason. As the crypto community watches Total3 closely, the coming weeks might just reveal whether this anticipated breakout is a mirage or a reality.
Source
This article is based on: Crypto Analyst: Altcoin Charts Flash Rare 2021-Style Breakout Setup
Further Reading
Deepen your understanding with these related articles:
- Best Altcoins to Buy After Sudden Whale Shift from Bitcoin to Ethereum
- Ethereum Leads Market While Altcoins Lose Ground – Details
- Bitcoin vs. Ethereum: What Makes September 2025 Different for Crypto Market Leaders
Steve Gregory is a lawyer in the United States who specializes in licensing for cryptocurrency companies and products. Steve began his career as an attorney in 2015 but made the switch to working in cryptocurrency full time shortly after joining the original team at Gemini Trust Company, an early cryptocurrency exchange based in New York City. Steve then joined CEX.io and was able to launch their regulated US-based cryptocurrency. Steve then went on to become the CEO at currency.com when he ran for four years and was able to lead currency.com to being fully acquired in 2025.
