In the ever-volatile world of cryptocurrencies, Hedera’s HBAR token finds itself at a crossroads as of September 5, 2025. After a remarkable 350% ascent over the past year, the rally’s momentum is showing signs of fatigue. Analysts are raising concerns as bearish technical indicators—specifically the ominous “death” crossovers—begin to cast a shadow over the token’s trajectory. The critical $0.21 support level is now in jeopardy, prompting investors to watch closely.
Understanding the Threat of Death Crossovers
A death crossover, for those not steeped in technical analysis, is a chart pattern that signals potential bearish reversals. It occurs when a short-term moving average crosses below a long-term moving average. In HBAR’s case, the potential crossover could signal a shift from bullish exuberance to bearish caution. “The market’s current setup is a textbook setup for a death crossover,” commented crypto analyst Sarah Nguyen. “If it plays out, we could see a significant retraction in HBAR’s price.”
Adding to the concern is the declining money flow—a measure of trading volume and price movement—which indicates waning buying pressure. “The money flow index suggests that capital is moving out of HBAR,” Nguyen added. This drying up of liquidity is often a precursor to price declines, especially if accompanied by increasing sell pressure. This pattern echoes recent market behavior observed in Solana’s price movements, where significant capital outflows have tested key price levels.
Market Sentiment and Historical Context
The crypto market’s mood can often sway between irrational exuberance and undue pessimism. Over the past year, HBAR has enjoyed a stellar run, fueled by developments within the Hedera network and broader adoption of its technology. Yet, the current cooling-off period isn’t entirely unexpected. The cryptocurrency sector is notorious for its cyclical nature, where periods of rapid growth are often followed by corrections. This cyclical nature was also highlighted in our analysis of Google search trends, which have previously indicated local market tops.
A year ago, Hedera’s partnership announcements and network upgrades drove substantial interest and investment. Now, as the market digests these gains, some investors are taking profits off the table. “It’s not uncommon to see a pullback after such a strong rally,” says blockchain strategist Marcus Lee. “What’ll be crucial is whether HBAR can sustain key support levels and attract new buyers.”
Looking Ahead: What Lies in Store for HBAR?
The looming question is whether this is merely a temporary breather in HBAR’s journey or the start of a deeper decline. A breach of the $0.21 support could open the floodgates for further selling, potentially pushing prices lower. However, the cryptocurrency market is nothing if not unpredictable. Any positive news, such as a new partnership or technological breakthrough, might reignite interest and buying activity.
For now, traders and investors are adopting a cautious stance. Some are hedging their bets, while others are waiting on the sidelines for clearer signals. As the market grapples with these uncertainties, HBAR’s path forward remains a subject of keen interest and speculation.
In the coming months, market participants will be closely monitoring not just the technical indicators but also broader market trends and developments within the Hedera ecosystem. The question remains: Can HBAR defy the bearish signs and maintain its upward trajectory, or will it succumb to the pressures that have derailed many crypto rallies in the past? As always in crypto, only time will tell.
Source
This article is based on: Year-Long HBAR Price Uptrend At Risk as “Death” Crossovers Loom
Further Reading
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Steve Gregory is a lawyer in the United States who specializes in licensing for cryptocurrency companies and products. Steve began his career as an attorney in 2015 but made the switch to working in cryptocurrency full time shortly after joining the original team at Gemini Trust Company, an early cryptocurrency exchange based in New York City. Steve then joined CEX.io and was able to launch their regulated US-based cryptocurrency. Steve then went on to become the CEO at currency.com when he ran for four years and was able to lead currency.com to being fully acquired in 2025.
